DSK and Conspiracy Theory

A friend of mine asked my opinion on a recent NYT article by Roger Cohen, regarding the DSK affair and the alleged tendency of the French to believe in conspiracy theories. Here is my response (slightly edited):

I don't believe that the French are more inclined to conspiracy theories than other nationals. The 911 conspiracy theories are shared by countless people around the world, including French, Americans, and a very large proportion of Arabs and Muslims.

For each international affair, there is always a tendency to defend those of the same country, which, in my opinion only reminds us that we are still in a world driven by national interests, dangerous patriotism, corporatism, and generally speaking, the lack of conscience in the common destiny of all the living things on a planet floating in a dangerous environment.

At the heart of these theories lies information trust. Because few information can be verified without doubt, our "trust systems" play a big role in our belief in specific alternative theories.

These trust systems are built over time by many factors and experiences. States, especially powerful and righteous states, often fail to recognize the long term impacts of their actions and inactions on the trust systems of other nationals.

In the case of the USA, recent history is littered with improper conduct of international affairs that has eroded other nationals trust in the USA : constant references to national interests, patriotism and the flag hailed, refusal to sign the declaration of human rights, the Chagos Islands affair, false intelligence leading to the 2003 invasion of Iraq, torture at Guantanamo Bay, refusal to hold trials of detained captives, refusal to investigate the 2007 Iraq murder by US soldiers from an Apache helicopter revealed in a video leaked last year, holding without charges in solitary confinement for almost a year of non-convicted Bradley Manning, to name a few.

All of these proven facts, the known aversion of America against socialism as evidenced in the last US presidential elections, the lack of consideration by American journalists of DSK presumed innocence as is clearly the case of this journalist, raises the possibly for injustice in this international affair against the accused.

I personally believe that this kind of international affair would be better judged by an international court in full respect of the presumption of innocence, although I am not aware of any international law that would allow this type of trial.

The author of this article fails to properly analyse all of the above and much more, and therefore falls into the trap of patriotism in a confused amalgam of past unpleasant experiences he had with French individuals that he met in restaurants where people drink too much and say stupid things that they don't really believe when sober.

Sustainable Development, Science, and Logic. Part 1 - Logic.

Although we are in the 21st century, following several centuries of incredible science discoveries, and countless technological marvels, we still live in a world of false reasoning, obscurantism, and deceptions. In this series of posts I will try to explain the foundations of logic and science to show how these should be used in our everyday quest towards a more sustainable development and the truth in general.

In our quest for the truth, the whole truth, and nothing but the truth, we will start by making a "simple" logical demonstration to prove that the proposition "1 + 1 = 2" is true. Most people take this logical truth for granted while some people, confused with the definition of what a natural number is, believe that this proposition is either not true or at least not always true. We will hereafter prove that this proposition is, not only true, but always true, regardless of where we stand in the universe and even if there was no universe to discuss this proposition.

For those interested in the origins of this proof, it derives from the Peano Axioms postulated by Italian Mathematician Giuseppe Peano in the 19th century who was one of the first mathematicians to explore the use of logic to set beyond any doubt the foundation of all mathematical truths.

Before attempting to prove anything we must agree on definitions or postulates. The postulates are only required to allow communication between us, they do not need to prove anything.

The (hopefully minimum) set of postulates we need for this demonstration is:
P1: Let "0" be a "natural number"

P2: Let "1" be the natural number "succeeding" 0 in the "ordered" set of natural numbers:
"successor( 0 ) = 1" is true

P3: Let "2" be the natural number succeeding 1 in this set:
"successor( 1 ) = 2" is true

P4: Let "a" be a natural number, and let the "addition" of zero to "a" be equal to a:
"a + 0 = a" is true

P5: Let "b" be a natural number, and let the addition of ("a" with "the successor" of "b") equal ("the successor" of "a" added to "b"):
"a + successor( b ) = successor( a + b )" is true

Now that we have agreed on the meaning of what the natural numbers "0", "1", and "2" are, as well as succession, equality and what we mean by adding two natural numbers, we can show the demonstration. A logical demonstration is a set of logical steps using only postulates, or truths, to reach to a new truth. To be valid, each step of the demonstration must state the "truth" it relies on to be true:

P6: Let "a" be the natural number 1
P7: Let "b" be the natural number 0

Step 1: Using P5:
"a + successor( b ) = successor( a + b )" is true

Step 2: Replacing "a" and "b" by their values in P5:
"1 + successor( 0 ) = successor( 1 + 0 )" is true

Step 3: Using P2 ("successor( 0 ) = 1" is true):
"1 + 1 = successor( 1 + 0 )" is true

Step 4: Using P4 (
"a + 0 = a" is true):
 "1 + 1 = successor( 1 )" is true

Step 5: Using P3 ("successor( 1 ) = 2" is true):
"1 + 1 = 2" is true

This demonstration may sound over-developed to most people but this is necessary to build an absolute proof, beyond any doubt, that "1 + 1 = 2" is always true. Hopefully this is also the shortest proof (if you find a shorter, and valid, proof feel free to let me know).

For this truth to be true, we only needed to make postulates about the small subset of the three natural numbers 0, 1, and 2, as well as the notions of successor, addition and equality in this subset. So this truth is independent of any other predicates or truths. The independence of this truth from any other truths or predicates has far reaching consequences as we will now explore:
  1. Because none of the postulates or steps used in this demonstration assume a specific position in the universe, this truth remains true anywhere in the universe, it can be said to be independent from where we evaluate the validity of this truth in the universe.
  2. Because the postulates and steps used in this demonstration were independent from matter or energy, this truth can be said to be abstract, and remains true even in the absence of matter or energy. Therefore this remains true beyond our own universe and beyond any universe.
  3. This truth would still be true even if there was nobody to prove. The proof does not predate the truth. This truth was therefore true before its proof existed.
  4. This truth was also true before any human ever existed and before any universe ever existed and will continue be true after any universe would cease to exist.
  5. The proof needs someone do discover it but the truth itself does not need anyone to be true. So this truth can be said to be universal, to have always existed, to be independent of anything or any creator. Only the proof may need a creator.
  6. Hence this truth did not need any god or creator to be true, only the proof might have needed a god or creator.
This does not mean that god does not exist, it only means that logic does not need a creator to be true and does not exclude the possibility that the proof might need a god to exist.

Some might argue that without a proof the truth is irrelevant. To the contrary, without the truth predating, the proof would be impossible to discover. A logical truth is just as an island waiting to be discovered. Before being discovered by a human being, the island exists, and other lifeforms can flourish on it. Likewise, logical truths have consequences in our universe before being discovered by us.

The truth "1 + 1 = 2" is only one of many universal logical truths. The essence is to understand the universality of these truths, and our ability to verify each one of these truth by the use of logical reasoning. These truths and the logical reasoning to prove them constitute the solid foundation over which all scientific investigation and truths are discovered.

Logic should not be reserved to mathematical or scientific investigation, it should also be the basis of any proper discussion, problem solving, or conflict resolution. Unfortunately, more often than not, newscasters, politicians, business people, judges, and ordinary people use no or bad reasoning, bad and incomplete data, and no scientific approach in everyday conversations resulting in countless errors and suffering. We therefore need, more than ever, to re-establish the proper use of logic against false reasoning, obscurantism, and deceptions.

In part 2, I will explore the scientific method to help understand the incredible power of science and why we should rely more on science than we currently do.

Fox-Gate - Fox News fiddles with climate change polling | Media Matters for America

Fox News' graphics department added together the "very likely" and "somewhat likely" numbers to reach 59 percent, and called that new group "somewhat likely." Then, for some reason, they threw in the 35 percent "very likely" as their own group, even though they already added that number to the "somewhat likely" percentage. Then they mashed together the "not very likely" and "not likely at all" groups, and threw the 15 percent who were unsure into the waste bin. Voila -- 120 percent.
Media_httpcloudfrontm_obgkb

Check-out mediamatters.org for clear evidence of misrepresentations by Fox News Channel.

Fox News Channel is all about misrepresentation and falsification of the truth,, with the sole goal to support an uber-conservative war-minded agenda.

Unfortunately Fox New Channel is the most viewed news channel in the USA. This means that lies are over represented and that democratic values are loosing ground in this country.

This must change, take action to spread the word to question everything presented on Fox.

Stealing a Nation, a Special Report by John Pilger

This film is a shocking, almost incredible story. A government calling itself civilised tricked and expelled its most vulnerable citizens so that it could give their homeland to a foreign power . . . Ministers and their officials then mounted a campaign of deception all the way up to the Prime Minister.

STEALING A NATION (John Pilger, 2004) is an extraordinary film about the plight of people of the Chagos Islands in the Indian Ocean - secretly and brutally expelled from their homeland by British governments in the late 1960s and early 1970s, to make way for an American military base.

The base, on the main island of Diego Garcia, was a launch pad for the invasions of Afghanistan and Iraq.

Stealing a Nation has won both the Royal Television Society's top award as Britain's best documentary in 2004-5, and a 'Chris Award' at the Columbus International Film and Video Festival. A brochure of the film is available.

On April 8, 2008, the Chagos Islanders have launched a national Campaign for Resettlement of their islands.

For more information and updates on the plight of the Chagossians, visit the website of the UK Chagos Support Association.

Save the Oceans, or Expand a US Military Base?

AVAAZ.org is calling on us to support the British government effort to end commercial fishing in the Chagos archipelago.

I had never heard of the Chagos Islands, so I went to check Wikipedia to learn something about these islands. And here is what I found.

The Chagos Archipelago is basically a US military base after the British government decided to deport (forcibly removed) its legitimate inhabitants around 1970 to Mauritius:

From Wikipedia:
"Suddenly, between 1967 and 1971, the entire population was forcibly removed from the islands and relocated to Mauritius to make way for a joint United States-United Kingdom military base on Diego Garcia.

[...] It later became clear that the Chagossians had been fraudulently reclassified as 'migrant workers' in order to facilitate the American military occupation of their home. The High Court had repeatedly found in favour of the Chagosians and it was only by means of a Royal Decree that the UK government was able to overturn the decision.

[...] The British government went so far as to commission a (widely discredited) report in which it suggested that the islands were uninhabitable despite currently being home to hundreds of American military personnel."

So we need to at least question the motive here. Does the British government really want to save the oceans, or do they want to make the entire area around these islands an exclusive military zone?

I wonder if AVAAZ would like the idea of supporting the extension of military zone which is responsible for the deportation of thousands of legitimate inhabitants.

I have decided not to sign this petition as it is because I don't really like swimming in murky waters. I would love to sign the petition if it also called for the end of the military base to really protect the zone from all pollutions.

The question of its original inhabitants must also be addressed, they want to return and self determination - they do not want to be ruled by Mauritius, which the current plan after the end of the military occupation.

Update: I just signed the petition for a solution to protect the Chagos and the allow the return of Chagossians to their homeland.

Update: The lie has now been exposed thanks to Wikileaks: http://www.guardian.co.uk/world/us-embassy-cables-documents/207149

Child Abuse - Stop Killing your Children with Sugar

You need to get your children off the sugar addiction, processed or not, any kind of sugar (including potatoes and killer fries), because sugars are responsible for killing more people every day than car accidents, murders, and terrorism combined.

Excess sugar (over what our bodies need for energy) is transformed into fat by the liver, transported to fat cells by (so-called bad) cholesterol, stored there, until it will be needed for energy later. The problem is that, with the typical American lifestyle, "later" never comes and the fat stays there forever, accumulates, until it kills the host (your children) from society-inflected cardiovascular decease. As Jamie Oliver puts it, this is child abuse!

If you stop the sugar flow, and start even moderate exercise, such as walking 30 minutes a day, your system will order (so-called good) cholesterol to fetch stored fat and transport it back to the liver, where the fat will then be converted to glucose and transported through the blood stream to the cells that need the energy.

Intense brain activity also requests glucose to function and is as good as exercise if intense and prolonged enough, so while you're at it make sure your children challenges their brain by getting them off television and start thinking about how to cook healthy meals or learning anything because learning consumes more energy than any other brain process.

Learning about food and its relation to metabolism would be an excellent choice to understand why the science behind what we eat is so important to our lives and reduced healthcare costs.

While you reduce sugar consumption, make sure that your children get a good supply of essential fatty acids, in particular omega-3 fatty acids (preferably from fish), that the liver cannot build - that's why they're called "essential".

Omega-3 fatty acids protect tissues from oxygen-induced damage (oxidation), and are a key building ingredient for the nervous system - including the brain.

Low-fat diets are dangerous for that reason because these deprive the body of essential fatty acids leading to premature aging, Alzheimer and Parkinson disease, depression and other mental disorders such as anorexia.

A low carbohydrate diet, associated with proper fish and vegetable intake with get your child back on a healthy and energetic lifestyle while guarantying better school results and self-loving.

Moving towards a Sustainable World Population

Hundreds of human rights and health organizations around the world applauded U.S. President Barack Obama's move last week to repeal the so-called Global Gag Rule, which stipulated the United States may not fund any foreign healthcare organization that provides abortion counseling, advocacy, or referrals, reports OneWorld.net.
For Bangladesh, analysts concluded that $62 spent by the government to prevent an unwanted birth saved $615 in expenditures on other social services.
Iran introduced a full panoply of contraceptive measures, including the option of male sterilization-a first among Muslim countries. All forms of birth control, including contraceptives such as the pill and sterilization, were free of charge.
Media_httpwwwscientif_peleb
Perhaps the most important year affecting Homo sapiens was 1989. That was the year marking the Inflection Point for the Global Demographic Transition. Global population change reached a maximum of 88 million in that year. It has been declining ever since.

A major key toward sustainability, economic development, is the stabilization of the world population.

The good news is that family planning efforts throughout the world are not expensive and provide a return on investment model for developing countries.

The inflection point (where the second derivative equals zero) on the graph above shows that the world population is no longer on an exponential growth but that the growth rate is decreasing every year since 1989. This probably means that our civilization will not suddenly disappear after consuming all available resources like a culture of bacterias in a petri dish.

This also means that the slower growth is a (somewhat) natural response to decreasing resources per capita.

The article also shows that even strong religious opposition against family planning can be overcome as the example of Iran clearly shows.

There are other scenarios for future population growth than the above graph shows. The most pessimistic is one of continued growth, which would inevitably lead to a crisis scenario and catastrophic decrease of the world population. The most optimistic (in some way) calls for a decrease of the world population after 2050. This scenario would imply that we would overshoot the maximum population that the earth can handle. The decrease in world population could be the result of a global war or pandemic.

I find the above graph more realistic as I believe that we will find solutions to not only stop the growth rate but also to consume less unsustainable resources by 2050. I believe that as the availability of non-sustainable resources decreases there will be additional pressure against growth.

The resource per capita which is the most at risk of decreasing in the near future is not energy but food, and in particular healthy food. Healthy food requires more land surface and is the most under pressure especially in developing countries. If this challenge is addressed by intensive and unsustainable agriculture, we could only make the problem worse and move towards a less desirable scenario (from a human perspective).

Finally I would like to point out that we should not try to "save the earth". The earth could not care less about what we are doing and would be doing just fine, a million years after our extinction. The efforts towards sustainability are only to save us from our own shortcomings.